Liquid Biopsy Predicts Recurrence in HPV-Independent Head and Neck Cancer Months Before Imaging

Highlights

The following key findings represent the core clinical takeaways from the study:

  • Tumor-informed ctDNA detection showed a 97% sensitivity in the pre-surgical setting for patients with HPV-independent HNSCC.
  • Minimal Residual Disease (MRD) positivity within six weeks of completing adjuvant treatment was associated with a 7-fold increase in the risk of death.
  • In the surveillance setting, MRD positivity was associated with an 8-fold increase in recurrence risk, providing a median lead time of five months before clinical or radiologic detection.
  • Multivariable analysis confirmed that ctDNA status is an independent prognostic factor, even when accounting for established risk factors like margin status and extracapsular extension.

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