PLCOm2012 Risk-Based Selection Outperforms NELSON Criteria for Lung Cancer Detection in Germany: Findings from the HANSE Cohort

Highlights

– In the HANSE prospective cohort (n=5191), PLCOm2012 (6‑year risk ≥1.58%) produced a higher positive predictive value for lung cancer detection than NELSON categorical criteria (2.59% vs 2.17%; p=0.0016).

– The number needed to screen to detect one lung cancer was lower using PLCOm2012 (38.6) than with NELSON criteria (46.1), indicating greater efficiency for risk-model selection.

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