Introduction: The Challenge of HPV-Independent HNSCC
Human papillomavirus (HPV)-independent head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) remains one of the most challenging malignancies in oncology. Unlike its HPV-associated counterparts, which often respond well to treatment, HPV-independent HNSCC is characterized by genomic instability, a higher propensity for recurrence, and a generally poorer prognosis. Currently, the decision to administer adjuvant therapy—such as radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy—relies on clinicopathologic criteria that have remained largely unchanged for decades. These include surgical margin status, extracapsular nodal extension (ENE), and the number of involved lymph nodes.
However, these traditional markers are often imprecise. Many patients classified as “intermediate-risk” undergo intensive adjuvant treatments that carry significant morbidity, yet still experience relapse. Conversely, some patients deemed low-risk suffer early recurrences. There is a desperate clinical need for a more precise, molecular-based method to identify molecular residual disease (MRD) immediately following surgery to better stratify patients and personalize postoperative care.
Highlights of the Study
Superior Sensitivity of Lymphatic Exudate
The study demonstrates that circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) collected from postoperative surgical drains (“lymph”) 24 hours after surgery is a significantly more sensitive marker for MRD than time-matched plasma biopsies.
Predictive Value in Locoregional Relapse
Lymph-based ctDNA detection showed a sensitivity of 78% for identifying patients who would eventually suffer locoregional recurrence, a feat that plasma-based assays failed to achieve at the same early time point.
Refining Intermediate-Risk Stratification
In patients with intermediate-risk pathology—those for whom adjuvant treatment decisions are most difficult—lymph ctDNA achieved a sensitivity of 88% for predicting recurrence, suggesting a transformative role for this biomarker in the clinic.
Study Design and Methodology
The researchers, led by Lazare et al., conducted a rigorous two-phase study to evaluate the utility of postoperative lymph as a source of ctDNA. The study employed an ultra-sensitive, tumor-informed sequencing approach. This method involves first sequencing the patient’s primary tumor to identify individual-specific genetic mutations (variants), and then searching for those exact sequences in the liquid biopsy samples.
The study was structured into two cohorts:
1. Initial Cohort: Consisting of 36 patients to train the detection models.
2. Replication Cohort: An independent multi-site group of 37 patients to validate the findings.
The primary objective was to compare the performance of ctDNA detection in lymph versus plasma collected exactly 24 hours after surgical resection. The researchers tracked progression-free survival (PFS) and compared outcomes between patients who were ctDNA positive versus those who were ctDNA negative.
Key Findings: Lymph vs. Plasma Performance
The results of the study provide compelling evidence for the superiority of lymph as a proximal source of ctDNA. In the initial cohort, lymph ctDNA detection reached a sensitivity of 76% and a specificity of 63% (log-rank P = 0.01). These findings were successfully replicated in the second cohort, which showed a sensitivity of 65% and a specificity of 70% (log-rank P = 0.04).
In stark contrast, plasma collected at the same 24-hour postoperative mark was almost entirely non-predictive. Plasma ctDNA detection yielded a sensitivity of only 35% (log-rank P = 0.7). This suggests that in the immediate aftermath of surgery, the systemic circulation (plasma) may not yet contain a high enough concentration of tumor DNA to be detectable, or that the DNA is rapidly cleared. However, the lymphatic fluid, which drains directly from the surgical bed, acts as a concentrated reservoir for residual tumor fragments.
When focusing specifically on locoregional relapses—the most common site of failure in HNSCC—the performance of lymph ctDNA was even more robust, with a sensitivity of 78% and a specificity of 67% (log-rank P = 0.0004). Perhaps most importantly, the technology generalized well to early-stage patients, who are often overlooked in traditional liquid biopsy studies.
Biological Plausibility and Proximal Sampling
The biological rationale behind these findings is rooted in the anatomy of the head and neck. HNSCC is a disease that predominantly spreads through lymphatic channels. During surgery, the disruption of tissues and lymphatic vessels leads to the accumulation of fluid in the surgical bed, which is then removed via drains. This fluid, or “lymphatic exudate,” provides a direct sample of the microenvironment where residual cancer cells are most likely to linger.
By sampling this fluid, clinicians are essentially performing a “proximal” liquid biopsy. While plasma ctDNA (a “distal” biopsy) relies on DNA entering the venous system and surviving systemic clearance, lymph ctDNA captures the local molecular landscape. This explains why the lymph samples were able to detect MRD at a time when plasma was still negative.
Clinical Implications: A New Era for Adjuvant Therapy
The implications for patient care are significant, particularly for the “intermediate-risk” group. Currently, patients with factors like T3/T4 stage or multiple involved nodes without ENE are often in a clinical gray area regarding the necessity of intensified adjuvant therapy. In this study, lymph ctDNA in intermediate-risk patients was associated with recurrence with a sensitivity of 88% and a specificity of 67% (log-rank P = 0.0008).
If validated in larger prospective trials, this could lead to a paradigm shift:
1. De-escalation: Patients who are lymph ctDNA negative might safely avoid the toxicities of high-dose radiation or chemotherapy.
2. Escalation: Patients who are lymph ctDNA positive, despite “favorable” pathology, could be identified early for more aggressive adjuvant protocols or enrollment in clinical trials for novel systemic therapies.
Expert Commentary and Study Limitations
Independent experts in the field of head and neck oncology have noted that this study addresses one of the most significant “blind spots” in surgical oncology—the immediate postoperative window. While MRD detection is gaining traction in many solid tumors, most assays are performed weeks after surgery. The ability to detect residual disease within 24 hours allows for earlier intervention and better alignment with adjuvant treatment planning.
However, the study is not without limitations. The specificity of lymph ctDNA (63-70%) suggests that some patients who test positive may not actually go on to recur, possibly due to the surgical removal of the cells that shed that DNA or the efficacy of subsequent standard adjuvant therapy. Furthermore, while the replication cohort validated the findings, larger-scale, multi-center prospective trials are required to determine the exact threshold for clinical intervention based on lymph ctDNA levels.
Conclusion
Postoperative lymph is a novel and highly promising source of ctDNA for the early detection of recurrence in HPV-independent HNSCC. By providing a proximal view of the surgical bed, lymph-based liquid biopsy offers superior sensitivity compared to traditional plasma assays. This technology has the potential to introduce unprecedented precision into the management of head and neck cancer, ensuring that adjuvant therapy is directed toward those who need it most while sparing others from unnecessary treatment-related morbidity.
References
1. Lazare S, Gu Z, Earland N, et al. Postoperative Lymph Is a Proximal Source of ctDNA for Detection of Recurrence in HPV-Independent Head and Neck Cancer. Clin Cancer Res. 2026;32(1):135-147. doi: 10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-25-1221.
2. Cohen EE, LaMonte SJ, Erb NL, et al. American Cancer Society Head and Neck Cancer Survivorship Care Guideline. CA Cancer J Clin. 2016;66(3):203-239.
3. Abbosh C, Birkbak NJ, Wilson GA, et al. Phylogenetic ctDNA analysis depicts early-stage lung cancer evolution. Nature. 2017;545(7655):446-451.

