Refining Patient Selection for Microaxial Flow Pumps: The DanGer Shock-like Profile as a Survival Predictor in STEMI-CS

Refining Patient Selection for Microaxial Flow Pumps: The DanGer Shock-like Profile as a Survival Predictor in STEMI-CS

Highlights

Predictive Value of Trial Criteria

Patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction-related cardiogenic shock (STEMI-CS) who meet the DanGer Shock (DGS) trial eligibility criteria (DGS-like) exhibit significantly lower mortality at 180 days when treated with a microaxial flow pump (mAFP) compared to those who do not (62.5% vs. 72.0%).

Early Survival Benefits

The survival advantage of the DGS-like profile is evident as early as 30 days, with an all-cause mortality rate of 48.4% compared to 70.2% in the DGS-unlike cohort.

Clinical Selection Matters

After multivariable adjustment, the DGS-like profile remained a robust independent predictor of survival, suggesting that the trial’s strict inclusion/exclusion criteria successfully identify a subset of patients most likely to benefit from invasive mechanical circulatory support.

Background: The Evolution of Cardiogenic Shock Management

Cardiogenic shock (CS) remains the leading cause of death in patients hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction, with historical mortality rates hovering around 40% to 50% despite advances in percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). For decades, the search for effective mechanical circulatory support (MCS) was marked by neutral results in major randomized controlled trials (RCTs), such as the IABP-SHOCK II trial, which led to the downgrading of intra-aortic balloon pumps in international guidelines.

The landscape shifted significantly with the publication of the DanGer Shock (DGS) trial. This landmark study demonstrated that the routine use of a microaxial flow pump (mAFP), specifically the Impella CP, in addition to standard care for STEMI-CS, reduced the risk of all-cause death at 180 days. However, the DGS trial utilized highly specific inclusion and exclusion criteria, focusing on a high-risk but salvageable population while excluding patients with prolonged cardiac arrest or mechanical complications. In clinical practice, clinicians often face an ‘all-comers’ population that is more heterogeneous than trial cohorts. Understanding how well these trial-derived criteria predict outcomes in a real-world setting is crucial for optimizing patient selection and resource allocation.

Study Design and Methodology

To investigate the external validity and predictive power of the DGS criteria, researchers conducted a prospective analysis of a single-centre mAFP registry. The study included 478 patients treated with a microaxial flow pump for cardiogenic shock, of whom 225 presented with STEMI-related CS (STEMI-CS). The primary objective was to compare the outcomes of patients who fit the DGS trial profile (‘DGS-like’) against those who did not (‘DGS-unlike’).

Defining the DGS-like Profile

Patients were categorized as DGS-like if they met the following criteria derived from the original trial:

  • Confirmed STEMI-related cardiogenic shock.
  • Serum lactate levels ≥2.5 mmol/L.
  • Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 45%.
  • Absence of mechanical complications (e.g., ventricular septal rupture).
  • No comatose state following out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). However, the study included patients with in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) with a maximum of 10 minutes to return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) as a surrogate for medically witnessed arrest.

The ‘DGS-unlike’ cohort consisted of STEMI-CS patients who failed to meet one or more of these criteria. The primary endpoint for comparison was all-cause mortality at 180 days, with secondary endpoints including 30-day mortality and procedural characteristics.

Key Findings: Survival Disparities in Real-World Application

Among the 225 patients with STEMI-CS treated with an mAFP, only 64 (28.4%) met the strict DGS-like criteria. This relatively low percentage highlights the high degree of clinical complexity found in real-world registries compared to controlled trial environments.

Baseline Characteristics and Treatment

The DGS-like cohort was generally younger than the DGS-unlike group. Notably, DGS-like patients were significantly less likely to have received cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) prior to mAFP implantation. Furthermore, the duration of mAFP support was significantly longer in the DGS-like group, suggesting a more stable recovery trajectory or a more proactive management strategy in this subset. Interestingly, baseline lactate levels, comorbidities, and the severity of coronary artery disease did not differ significantly between the two groups, nor did the need for inotropes or vasopressors.

Table 1. Baseline characteristics.

Alln = 225 DGS‐like STEMI‐CSn = 64 DGS‐unlike STEMI‐CSn = 161 P value
Age, years 69 (58, 82) 67 (57, 74) 69 (58, 80) 0.018
Female sex, n (%) 55/255 (24.4) 15/64 (23.4) 40/161 (24.8) 0.825
Body mass index, kg/m2 26.7 (24.6, 29.4) 26.7 (24.2, 29.9) 26.6 (24.7, 29.0) 0.993
Arterial hypertension, n (%) 149/221 (67.4) 45/63 (71.4) 104/158 (65.8) 0.422
Atrial fibrillation, n (%) 49/225 (21.8) 19/64 (29.7) 30/161 (18.6) 0.070
Diabetes mellitus, n (%) 69/224 (30.8) 17/64 (26.6) 52/160 (32.5) 0.385
CKD stage ≥3, n (%) 58/223 (26.0) 16/64 (25.0) 42/159 (26.4) 0.828
PAD, n (%) 18/224 (8.0) 4/64 (6.3) 14/160 (8.8) 0.534
COPD, n (%) 10/224 (4.5) 2/64 (3.1) 8/160 (5.0) 0.728
Dyslipidaemia, n (%) 125/220 (56.8) 41/64 (64.1) 84/156 (53.8) 0.165
Previous AMI, n (%) 39/225 (17.3) 8/64 (12.5) 31/161 (19.3) 0.227
Previous CABG, n (%) 8/225 (3.6) 3/64 (4.7) 5/161 (3.1) 0.691
Previous PCI, n (%) 45/225 (20.0) 8/64 (12.5) 37/161 (23.0) 0.076
Previous stroke, n (%) 22/225 (9.8) 7/64 (10.9) 15/161 (9.3) 0.712
Mean blood pressure, mmHg 74 (60, 89) 74 (66, 84) 73 (60, 90) 0.642
Heart rate, min−1 95 (75, 115) 100 (80, 116) 92 (74, 110) 0.122
Arterial lactate, mmol/L 5.6 (3.2, 11.6) 4.9 (3.7, 8.8) 6.3 (2.7, 12.0) 0.496
Arterial lactate ≥2.5 mmol/L, n (%) 180/217 (82.9) 64/64 (100) 116/153 (75.8) <0.001
LVEF, % 30 (20, 40) 30 (20, 40) 25 (20, 40) 0.104
Resuscitation before mAFP, n (%) 122/225 (54.2) 21/64 (32.8) 101/161 (62.7) <0.001
Median time of CPR, min 20 (10, 53) 7 (5,10) 30 (15, 60) <0.001
Coronary artery disease, n (%) 0.866
None 1/223 (0.4) 0/64 (0) 1/159 (0.6)
1‐vessel 49/223 (22.0) 13/64 (20.3) 36/159 (22.6)
2‐vessel 65/223 (29.1) 18/64 (28.1) 47/159 (29.6)
3‐vessel 108/223 (48.4) 33/64 (51.6) 75/159 (47.2)
Infarct‐related artery LM or LAD, n (%) 137/219 (62.6) 41/64 (65.1) 96/156 (61.5) 0.624
PCI treatment, n (%) 217/225 (96.4) 64/64 (100) 153/161 (95.0) 0.109
Median time from symptoms to mAFP, hours 2 (1.0, 3.8) 2 (1.0, 4.4) 2 (1.0, 3.5) 0.864
Duration of mAFP support, hours 34.5 (8.0, 72.9) 46.2 (19.9, 96.9) 26.7 (4.3, 69.3) 0.019
Type of mAFP, n (%) 0.580
Impella CP 221/225 (98.2) 64/64 (100) 0/64 (0)
Impella 2.5 4/225 (1.8) 0/64 (0) 4/161 (2.5)
Additional tMCS, n (%) 0.571
Impella RP 4/225 (1.8) 0/64 (0) 4/161 (2.5)
V‐A ECMO 10/225 (4.4) 4/64 (6.3) 6/161 (3.7)
Ventilation, n (%) 0.084
None 22/225 (9.8) 10/64 (15.6) 12/161 (7.5)
Non‐invasive 14/225 (6.2) 4/64 (6.3) 10/161 (6.2)
Invasive 146/225 (64.9) 34/64 (53.1) 112/161 (69.6)
Both 43/225 (19.1) 16/64 (25.0) 27/161 (16.8)
Any norepinephrine, n (%) 193/223 (86.5) 51/63 (81.0) 142/160 (88.8) 0.124
Any vasopressin, n (%) 81/222 (36.5) 19/63 (30.2) 62/159 (39.0) 0.218
Any dobutamine, n (%) 118/222 (53.2) 28/63 (44.4) 90/159 (56.6) 0.102
Any enoximone, n (%) 31/222 (14.0) 11/63 (17.5) 20/159 (12.6) 0.344

Mortality Outcomes

The study found a striking difference in survival outcomes. The 180-day all-cause mortality was 62.5% in the DGS-like cohort compared to 72.0% in the DGS-unlike cohort (P = 0.014). The difference was even more pronounced at the 30-day mark, where mortality was 48.4% for DGS-like patients versus 70.2% for DGS-unlike patients (P < 0.001).

Figure 1

Fig 1.  Kaplan–Meier analysis showing all‐cause 180‐day mortality comparing DanGer Shock‐like versus DanGer Shock‐unlike patients. The hazard ratio (HR) is adjusted for age, sex, atrial fibrillation, CPR before mAFP, and baseline lactate (≥2.5 mmol vs. <2.5 mmol/L).

Figure 2

Fig 2. Landmark Kaplan–Meier analysis showing unadjusted all‐cause 180‐day mortality starting at day 31 comparing DanGer Shock‐like versus DanGer Shock‐unlike patients.

Multivariable Analysis

To ensure these findings were not merely the result of confounding variables such as age or CPR history, the researchers performed a multivariable analysis. The DGS-like profile remained a potent independent predictor of reduced mortality at both 180 days (Hazard Ratio [HR] 0.57; 95% CI 0.39, 0.83) and 30 days (HR 0.48; 95% CI 0.32, 0.72). These data suggest that the specific constellation of clinical factors used in the DGS trial identifies a phenotype with a markedly better prognosis when supported by microaxial flow pumps.

Table. Primary and secondary outcomes.

Alln = 225 DGS‐like STEMI‐CSN = 64 DGS‐unlike STEMI‐CSN = 161 Adjusted coefficients (95%CI) P value
Death at 180 days, n (%) 156/225 (69.3) 40/64 (62.5) 116/161 (72.0) 0.57 (0.39, 0.83) a 0.014 (log‐rank)
Death at 30 days, n (%) 144/225 (64.0) 31/64 (48.4) 113/161 (70.2) 0.48 (0.32, 0.72) a <0.001 (log‐rank)
CPR after device, n (%) 119/219 (54.3) 24/63 (38.1) 95/161 (60.9) 0.50 (0.27, 0.95) b 0.002
Death on device, n (%) 100/225 (44.4) 20/64 (31.3) 80/161 (49.7) 0.36 (0.19, 0.69) b 0.012
Weaning success, n (%) 104/225 (46.2) 36/64 (56.3) 68/161 (42.2) 1.45 (0.68, 3.10) b 0.057
Days in ICU, days 5 (1, 15)n = 220 6 (3, 16)n = 62 4 (1, 15)n = 158 0.04 (−2.75, 4.74) c 0.057

Expert Commentary: Interpreting the Data

The results of this registry analysis provide critical insights into the ‘whom to treat’ dilemma in cardiogenic shock. While the DanGer Shock trial proved that mAFPs can save lives, this study by Mangner et al. emphasizes that the benefit is heavily dependent on the patient profile. The significantly higher mortality in the DGS-unlike group (over 70% at 30 days) suggests that in patients with prolonged cardiac arrest, lower lactate levels (possibly indicating less severe shock), or mechanical complications, the use of an mAFP may not be enough to overcome the underlying severity of the insult.

The Challenge of Cardiac Arrest

One of the most important takeaways involves the exclusion of comatose OHCA patients. In the DGS-unlike cohort, many patients were excluded because of prolonged CPR or neurological uncertainty. The poor outcomes in this group reinforce the theory that ‘brain death’ or irreversible systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) often precedes cardiac recovery in these cases. By selecting patients with shorter ROSC times or witnessed arrests, clinicians can target individuals where hemodynamic support can actually bridge the patient to recovery rather than merely prolonging a futile situation.

Mechanistic Insights

The microaxial flow pump works by actively unloading the left ventricle and increasing systemic mean arterial pressure, thereby reducing myocardial oxygen demand while improving coronary and end-organ perfusion. The DGS-like profile essentially selects for patients with profound ‘pump failure’ (low LVEF, high lactate) who still have a viable chance of neurological and systemic recovery. In contrast, the DGS-unlike group may include patients who are either ‘too well’ (lactate < 2.5) to justify the risks of an invasive device or ‘too sick’ (prolonged arrest) to benefit from hemodynamic stabilization.

Conclusion: Moving Toward Precision MCS

The findings from this registry analysis validate the rigor of the DanGer Shock trial’s design and offer a practical framework for real-world application. By identifying a DGS-like profile, clinicians can more accurately predict which STEMI-CS patients are likely to derive a survival benefit from mAFP therapy. While the overall mortality in cardiogenic shock remains high, the ability to identify a subset with a 20% absolute reduction in 30-day mortality compared to the ‘unlike’ cohort represents a significant step forward in precision critical care.

Future research should focus on whether specific interventions can improve outcomes for the ‘DGS-unlike’ population, or whether alternative strategies—such as earlier escalation to extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) or palliative care—are more appropriate for those who do not meet these criteria.

References

1. Mangner N, Mierke J, Baron D, et al. DanGer Shock-like profile predicts the outcome in ST-elevation myocardial infarction-related cardiogenic shock. ESC Heart Fail. 2025;12(4):2759-2768. doi:10.1002/ehf2.15269 IF: 3.7 Q1 .

2. Møller JE, Engstrøm T, Jensen LO, et al. Microaxial Flow Pump or Standard Care in Infarct-Related Cardiogenic Shock. N Engl J Med. 2024;390(15):1389-1400.

3. Thiele H, Zeymer U, Neumann FJ, et al. Intraaortic balloon support for myocardial infarction with cardiogenic shock. N Engl J Med. 2012;367(14):1287-1296.

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