Standardizing the Digital Signal: How an Ontology of Early Warning Signs Can Predict Cytokine Release Syndrome

Standardizing the Digital Signal: How an Ontology of Early Warning Signs Can Predict Cytokine Release Syndrome

The Challenge of Cytokine Release Syndrome in Modern Immunotherapy

The landscape of oncology has been radically altered by the advent of cancer-targeted immunotherapies, particularly chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapies and bispecific antibodies. While these treatments offer unprecedented efficacy in previously refractory malignancies, they are frequently complicated by Cytokine Release Syndrome (CRS). CRS is a systemic inflammatory response characterized by the massive release of cytokines, leading to symptoms ranging from mild flu-like illness to life-threatening multi-organ failure. Currently, the management of CRS relies heavily on intermittent clinical assessments and reactive intervention. However, the transient and rapid onset of this syndrome often means that by the time clinical symptoms are obvious, the patient is already in a state of high-grade toxicity. There is an urgent, unmet medical need for methods that can detect the physiological precursors of CRS before they manifest as clinical crises.

Digital health technologies (DHTs) offer a potential solution. By utilizing wearable sensors and continuous monitoring, clinicians can track vital signs in real-time, capturing the subtle physiological shifts—digital biomarkers—that precede overt CRS. However, the field has been hampered by a lack of standardization in what should be measured and how those measures relate to clinical outcomes. A recent study by Medberry et al. (2025) addresses this gap by developing a comprehensive ontology of early warning signs for CRS using a robust mixed-methods approach.

Study Design and Methodology

The researchers employed a rigorous mixed-methods framework to identify and validate digital biomarkers for CRS. The study was structured in three primary phases:

Scoping Literature Review

The team conducted an extensive search of PubMed and Embase for articles published between January 2014 and March 2024. The criteria focused on studies reporting physiological or laboratory measures collected between the administration of immunotherapy and the onset of CRS. Of the initial results, 30 studies met the strict eligibility criteria, providing a foundation of evidence regarding the measures most frequently associated with early-stage CRS.

Subject Matter Expert (SME) and Key Opinion Leader (KOL) Engagement

To ensure the findings were clinically relevant and practical, the researchers engaged 22 SMEs and 8 KOLs through surveys and interviews. these experts provided qualitative insights into the clinical utility of various measures, the feasibility of continuous monitoring, and the specific thresholds that trigger clinical concern.

Ontology Development

Using the data from the literature and expert feedback, the team developed a structured ontology. This model defines the concepts, properties, and interrelationships of early warning signs, categorizing them into physiological signs, clinical symptoms, and laboratory markers.

Key Findings: The Rise of the Core Four Digital Biomarkers

The study’s most significant output is the identification of a “minimally necessary” set of data points required to evaluate the predictive value for CRS. Out of a vast array of potential measures, four physiological signs emerged as the most critical: temperature, heart rate, blood pressure, and oxygen saturation.

1. Temperature

Fever is almost universally the first sign of CRS. The ontology highlights that continuous temperature monitoring can detect subtle upward trends hours before a patient reaches the standard clinical threshold for pyrexia. This “lead time” is crucial for early administration of tocilizumab or corticosteroids.

2. Heart Rate

Tachycardia often accompanies or even precedes fever in the early stages of systemic inflammation. The study found that heart rate variability and sustained increases in resting heart rate are highly sensitive, though less specific, indicators of impending CRS.

3. Blood Pressure

Hypotension is a hallmark of higher-grade CRS. The ontology identifies blood pressure as a vital metric for determining the severity and progression of the syndrome. While traditionally measured intermittently, the move toward continuous or frequent non-invasive monitoring could provide a more granular view of hemodynamic stability.

4. Oxygen Saturation

Respiratory distress and hypoxia are critical indicators of CRS progression. Monitoring SpO2 provides a window into pulmonary involvement and the potential for capillary leak syndrome, another common complication of immunotherapy.

Interestingly, three of these four signs—temperature, blood pressure, and oxygen saturation—align directly with the American Society for Transplantation and Cellular Therapy (ASTCT) criteria for CRS grading. The inclusion of heart rate as a core digital biomarker suggests that digital monitoring may offer a more comprehensive safety net than traditional grading scales alone.

A Multi-Dimensional Ontology

Beyond the “Core Four,” the developed ontology encompasses a broader spectrum of markers. It categorizes early warning signs into:

Physiological Signs

In addition to the core vitals, this includes respiratory rate and activity levels (often measured via accelerometry), which may decline as a patient begins to feel systemically unwell.

Clinical Symptoms

Subjective reports of fatigue, headache, chills, and myalgia. The study emphasizes the role of patient-reported outcomes (ePROs) as a digital component of the ontology, providing context to the physiological data.

Laboratory Markers

While not “digital” in the sense of being captured by a wearable, the ontology integrates markers such as C-reactive protein (CRP), ferritin, and cytokine levels (e.g., IL-6). The integration of these disparate data types into a single ontology allows for a holistic view of the patient’s immune status.

Expert Commentary: Clinical Implications and Challenges

Experts interviewed in the study noted that while the technology exists to monitor these biomarkers, the primary challenge lies in “signal vs. noise.” In an oncology setting, patients may experience tachycardia or low-grade fevers for numerous reasons unrelated to CRS, such as infection or the underlying malignancy.

However, the consensus among KOLs is that the standardization provided by this ontology is a prerequisite for the development of machine learning algorithms. By having a unified language and a defined set of core measures, researchers can now build “fit-for-purpose” datasets. These datasets will allow for the creation of predictive models that can distinguish between the “normal” post-infusion recovery and the early trajectory of CRS.

Furthermore, this research has significant implications for the decentralization of care. Currently, most CAR-T patients must remain near a specialized academic medical center for weeks following infusion. If reliable digital biomarker monitoring can be established, it may eventually be possible to monitor patients in the community or even at home, significantly increasing access to these life-saving therapies.

Conclusion: Toward a Proactive Safety Paradigm

The work of Medberry et al. represents a critical step toward a more proactive and personalized approach to immunotherapy safety. By defining an ontology for CRS early warning signs, the study provides a roadmap for both clinical practice and future research. The adoption of the “Core Four” vitals as a standardized digital dataset will streamline the development of predictive tools, potentially allowing clinicians to intervene before CRS reaches a critical stage.

As DHTs continue to evolve, the integration of continuous physiological monitoring with clinical expertise will be essential. The shift from reactive treatment to predictive management not only promises to reduce the burden on healthcare systems but, most importantly, to improve the safety and quality of life for patients undergoing cutting-edge cancer treatment.

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